Book

The Black Swan Second Edition The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)

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Appears in

Behavioral Science

What this book knows

Rare, unpredictable events dominate history yet our minds are wired to ignore, misremember, and explain them away after the fact.

Sex: Absent
Work: Present
Learning: Primary
Religion: Absent

mind-and-cognitionambition-and-statusself-and-identity

mind-and-cognition

We invent some of our memories. What makes sense according to information obtained subsequently will be remembered more vividly.
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History hides both Black Swans and its Black Swan–generating ability from us. The drowned do not usually vote.
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Not many people will have the temptation to go look at the dead rats — silent evidence shapes every narrative we trust.
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ambition-and-status

Recording introduced great injustice: Horowitz on a laptop replaces the living local musician now reduced to teaching untalented children.
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Someone moonlighting as a belly dancer will do far better in a financial crisis than someone who is just an analyst.
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self-and-identity

You will not be aware of the truncation — confronted with mysteries you cannot clear up without adding a dimension.
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Illuminates

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